An analysis of seasonality reveals how important the year-end business is for many areas. Not only the S&P 500 increases particularly in November, but also many other companies on the other side of the Atlantic.

One of them is the 3i Group. An investment company from London. This company seems to be particularly talented at the Santa Claus rally. This is shown by the following statistic.

Seasonality of 3I Group In the past 10 years, the share price has always risen between November 15th and December 28th. On average, the increase was 6.33 percent. If we extrapolate this to a full year, this corresponds to a return of 67 percent profit.

(Source: Seasonax.com)

6.33 percent return in 6 weeks is quite solid without leverage. Leveraged certificates exist. But I have only seen them from Morgan Stanley and L&S.

Interestingly, the stock is currently at its all-time high. How much can it still gain in its best time?

That is the big question. But I prefer stocks at all-time highs over lows. Because after an all-time high comes the next all-time high.

What I am wondering a little bit, however: The stock exchange had an incredibly strong run in November so far. The 3I Group, on the other hand, has only improved by 8 percent. Maybe even the experts of the investment company did not expect such a rally. Who could have guessed that?

Since its Corona low, the share price has now increased by almost 300 percent! The colleagues from 3I obviously do more right than wrong. Let them be content with a somewhat more restrained November.

On an annual basis, they are at a plus of 57 percent. That can also be seen. It is quite possible that they want to bring the sheep safely into dry land at the end of the year and reduce the risk.

Conclusion Will 3i Group again achieve a strong final sprint? The past 10 years have all been positive in the period from November 15th to December 28th. The S&P 500 did not manage this. In 2018 and 2022, the years were negative.

The average return in the aforesaid period on the largest index in the world is only 0.63 percent. 3I Group achieves 10 times this here! Quite impressive!

If you want to enter this trade and bet on seasonality, watch out for a suitable leverage or knockout. K.O.s below 18 GBP still offer a leverage of 5 to 6 currently. Thus you can achieve a return of over 30 percent with this trade, if we just average.

It may also be interesting to note that the prices often reach the maximum return on December 28th. Here it simply says: hold on!